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Palin Surfaces as Possible VP Candidate

The Weekly Standard throws Alaska's governor Sarah Palin in the hat as a possible Veep.  All that blog buzz is paying off.

"On the other hand (as blogger of the year Ace of Spades points out), how can you not like the idea of a Vice President who looks comfortable bagging a deer?"
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The Next Three Months: McCain's Biggest Opportunity

John McCain is now the nominee-apparent.  The Democrats, meanwhile, are locked in a knock-down drag-out fight that might not be settled before the convention.

Good time for McCain to go on vacation, right?  Lay low, raise some money, let the Dems tear themselves to shreds while he stands above the fray, right?  WRONG!

The next three months, from now until June, represent the most critical period of time for McCain's candidacy.  I believe his presidency will be effectively won or lost by June.  He'll either establish himself as a formidable candidate with energy and momentum behind him, or as the struggling underdog falling further behind, struggling against the poilitical tide.

Three months in politics is a lifetime, and McCain will need every minute of it.  Three months ago, McCain's political career was given up for dead, but he was laying the groundwork for his resurrection.  In those three months, he catapulted from also-ran to nominee.  It's one of the greatest political comebacks of all time, and it was accomplished against the backdrop of a hostile environment - conservative animosity, media indifference (at first), and being outspent and out-organized by three other candidates (Romney, Giuliani, and Fred Thompson).  McCain did everything he needed to do to win, despite long odds against him, and now he's the GOP nominee.

He begins this next stretch in much better shape than he was in last November.  He has the GOP nomination wrapped up, while the Democrats are locked in a bitter struggle.  His numbers show him consistently ahead of Clinton and in a dead heat with Obama.  But he also faces big challenges.  Much of the Republican party base, which he will need not only for votes but volunteers and contributions, is somewhere between skeptical and downright hostile.  The political mood in the country strongly favors the Democrats, and President Bush remains very unpopular (although his numbers are starting to go up a bit).

So McCain is at a crossroads.  He can establish himself as a dominant front-runner and force the Democrats to play catch-up, or he can squander this opportunity and find himself playing catch-up with the political tide running against him.

He needs to do three things:  Win over his base, establish a successful fundraising and political orgnaization, and set the tone for the Presidental debate to come in the fall.

Of the three, winning over the base is first and foremost.  There's little he can do, or needs to do, about Ann Coulter.  Forget her, she's only raising money for herself.  But he needs to talk directly to the rank-and file volunteers and donors who represent the backbone of the GOP.  His speech at CPAC was a great first start, but he needs to continue to talk directly with (not at) conservatives.  He needs to do this personally, not through surrogates or the media, and he needs to show that he's listening to the base.  If he can convince rank-and-file conservatives that he is 1) completely committed to winning the war on terror; 2) completely committed to appointing pro-life, conservative judges; 3) completely comitted to making the tax cuts permanent and lowering taxes; 4) will be unwavering in his support of Second Ammendment rights; and 5) will respect and support the positions conservatives hold dear, he will accomplish this task.  Reasonable conservatives will not throw away the country's future, concede defeat in the war on terror, or accept the demise of millions more of the unborn if they think McCain is serious and committed to doing right on these issues. 

And winning over the base will go a long way toward a successful fundraising and political organization.  McCain must tap into Bush's, Giuliani's and Romney's donors and start amassing a war chest, which he'll need in the summer for the "pre-convention campaign."    More importantly, he'll need this machinery set up in the fall. I'm not delusional, McCain won't be able to outraise and outspend the Democrats, but he won't need to.  He needs to be able to attack and counterattack, however, and not allow the Democrats to define him and the campaign.

Which brings us to the third task, setting the agenda for the campaign.  McCain has a huge advantage over all candidates, even the Democrats - he has the ear of the media.  With a solid base of support and a solid fundraising and political organization, plus his ability to reach people through the media, McCain can set the tone for the election, and he would need to do this in the summer.  If he's on the offensive, talking about issues where the Republicans have an advantage, he can turn the nature of the debate from a referendum on Bush to a discussion about what kind of nation and world we really want.  If the Democrats have to spend their time defending their foreign policy positions, or their tax hike proposals, or their socialized health care plans, instead of tying every Republican to Bush, it's a very different campaign.  And if this election becomes a choice between McCain's "straight talk" and Hillary's double-talk, the Democrats will find the tide running AGAINST them.

I would add that I believe, while McCain can work on these simultaneously, the most successful strategy would be to focus most of his efforts on accomplishing these tasks in order.  He's going to need the base to get the money and volunteers, and he's going to need that organization to get out his message to set the tone of the debate.  Going out of order here won't work.

So far, he's making a good start at accomplishing goal #1.  Stay tuned.
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Turning to the Democrats

Now that Romney has dropped out, we can focus our energy on the real enemy, the Democrats.

An interesting phenomenon is going on in the Democratic race.  After Edwards dropped out, most of his support went to the surging Obama, who overtook Clinton in the national polls on the eve of Super Tuesday.  After pulling out a "tie," Clinton has opened up a lead on Obama. (No doubt this is due to Ann Coulter's big endorsement, right?)

I have a theory on this, which I'd call the "California Effect."   Obama won more states and more delegates, but Clinton won the big prize of California, so she was the effective winner.  Similarly, McCain's lead in the national polls was reflected in his 8-point win in the Golden State.  So goes California, so goes the nation, at least in primary politics, and perhaps vice-versa.

So while Clinton probably lost "Super Tuesday" by most statistical measures, she won the perception battle, which is reflected in her current surge in momentum, and that perception battle is because of California.  On the GOP side, McCain became the dominant winner primarily because he won so big in the Golden State.  Finally, California has some clout!  Apparently, it has a LOT of clout.  In fact, I'd go so far as to say California will choose both nominees.  (One could argue, and it's probably true, that Florida decided the GOP race and California settled the deal, but at any rate it played a HUGE and decisive role.)

It's interesting to note the number of pundits who have jumped on the Obama bandwagon, including a lot of GOP pundits.  Those who watch the races closely, such as Dick Morris, put their money on Clinton, and for good reason.  She has the built-in advantages of the "Clinton Machine" and the female vote.  She will absolutely win the "super delegate" battle.  And, thanks to California, she now has the momentum.

I see three scenarios.  Scenario one, the Democratic race goes virtually neck-and-neck all the way to the convention, but with an ever-so-slight edge to Clinton.  She'll go into the convention with a slight lead in delegates, bot not a majority.  The "superdelegates" put her over the top, and she's a significantly weakened nominee.  For Republicans, this is a "best case scenario."  I'd add it's also the most likely one.  40% chance this happens.

Scenario two, the Clinton Slime Machine pulls out  some dirt on Obama and it sticks.  Who knows, maybe the Republicans, concerned with the prospect of facing Obama, will offer an assist.  If there's something out there, I can't imagine the Clintons not using it, and it would come out soon.  In this scenario, Obama drops off and Clinton wins a comfortable majority of the delegates long before the convention, giving her plenty of time to mend fences within the Democratic Party.  I'd say this is the second most likely scenario.  35% chance of happening.

Secnario three, Clinton screws up.  Either an attempt to slime Obama backfires, she pulls one too many crying episodes, Bill sticks his foot in his mouth one too many times, or a new Clinton scandal emerges and Obama decides to bring it out in the primary.  (I would say there's a 90% chance of a Clinton scandal, or seven, coming out during the general election cycle.)  In this case, Clinton supporters reject her and go to Obama, who comes out with just enough delegates to get a majority before the convention and he's the nominee.  This could happen, and the odds of it happening are significant, but the odds are better than even that it won't.  25% chance, by my estimation.

So right now, the odds are good (probably 75%) for a Clinton nomination, which should go far towards unifying the Republican Party, even if McCain has trouble mending fences.
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Robo-Calls from Romney

Who else but the Stepford Candidate would be sending out robo-calls?

We got two last night.  Almost woke up the baby, which was enough right there to make we want to see him lose big.  One of them was his "vote for me" message.  The other was a woman's voice trashing McCain. 

I hate these kind of negative calls - sneaky, slick, deceitful.  Somehow they figured out how to leave a message that couldn't be screened by the machine, so you can't listen to it while it's being delivered, you have to play it back.  It came in from a wireless line.  Lots of BS about how McCain and Hillary get along, Santorum's screed against McCain.  Very deceitful, sneaky and annoying.  I'm sure some Republicans will be receptive, especially the racist ones who call McCain "Juan, but as for me, it's just further proof that Romney is nothing but a slick, pandering little phoney with little positive to offer the nation.

If he somehow get the nomination, and I can't imagine that happening - notice NONE of the other Republican candidates have endorsed him - Romney would lose a la Walter Mondale.  We'd be left with an untrustworthy talk radio class and the conservative movement would be blamed, however unfairly, for the defeat, even though the truth is Romney isn't a conservative and he'd lose because he stinks as a candidate IN SPITE of his conservatism. 

With McCain, the conservatives can always say "he's not ours" if he implodes, and if he wins, they can say "oh, he's really a conservative," so they save face either way.  With Romney, he'll never win, because he's just  an unlikable candidate, the GOP, and especially the conservative movement, is headed to disaster.  Not to mention the country, which will be stuck with one of the two Democrats for four years.

And conservatives are rallying behind Romney, WHY???  (Oh yah, to keep their power for nine months.  Brilliant!)
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Just Voted in California

I walked with my wife and our six-month-old son to our polling place in the Hollywood Riviera.  Not a lot of crowds.  The people who did show up were mostly nonpartisan and they had nowhere to go but with the Democrats.

It's a catch-22, but I believe we should allow independents to vote on the California Republican primary, which is what the voters wanted.  There's little likelihood that these voters will come back to the GOP if they've already voted for the Democrats in the primary.  The California Republican Party desperately needs to reach out to the large number of unaffiliated voters if we're ever going to have a chance of making this state competitive.

One reason I'm optimistic about McCain is he can sell the Republican message to the independents, and the'll listen to him.  The Land of Reagan has become a desert wasteland for conservatism over the past twenty years.  We need something to regrow the Republican Party and bring back the independents.  It sure as heck won't be Romney.

In case you're wondering how I voted:

John McCain - President
No on ALL CA props
Yes on Redondo Beach Measure C (School Bonds)

As an aside, our neighborhood suffered a blackout at the beginning of the fourth quarter of the Super Bowl on Sunday, so we missed the greatest quarter in Super Bowl history - ARRRRRGH!  On the plus side, my wife, my old son and I played "20 questions" in the candlelight, which was probably a better family bonding experience, so maybe the good lord had a good reason for depriving us of the Super Bowl.
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Fox News: McCain Crushing Romney, Beating Hillary

The latest Fox News Poll shows McCain crushing the GOP field 48-20-19 (McCain/ Romney/ Huckabee), and leading HIllary.  Without Huckabee, McCain's number swells to 62%, which blows apart that theory that Huckabee is taking votes away from Romney - he's taking votes away from McCain!

This was a theory postulated by Michael Medved today, that the Huckabee voters, being evangelical and having serious qualms with Romney, both because of his background and his attacks on Huck, would be more inclined to either sit the election out or vote for McCain.  This poll shows they're McCain voters.

McCain's RCP average is now 11.8%, with the two latest polls indicating a possible landslide.

On the states, McCain now officially leads in Missouri, making Hugh Hewitt's "worst-case scenario for Mitt" a "most likely scenario," with the potential (if these Gallup and Fox polls are the least bit accurate) to be an even bigger night for McCain.  In the most recent state polls, McCain is leading everywhere. I haven't seen polls for Massachusetts and Utah (I'd imagine Romney is leading there), nor Arkansas (I'm very curious about this one.  I'm not at all convinced it's in the bag for Huckabee.)
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Ron Paul Could Win Maine??

Wow, Ron Paul might win the Maine Caucus this weekend.  Obviously, he has no chance of being much of a factor in the nomination proecess, but he seems to generate a surprising amount of energy and funds. 

Love him or hate him, Ron Paul ha brought a lot of new voters to the Republican Party who otherwise might go to the Democrats or stay home in November.  He's made it clear that he will support the Republican nominee and believes in party loyalty, despite being out-of-step on some big issues.

So the question is, how to we keep his supporters (and his fundraising, which is truly impressive) in the "big tent" for the general election?  Whether or not you take Ron Paul seriously, this is a question serious Republicans need to ask.  Three percent of the vote could be the margin of victory, so we need every one of these votes come November.  We need to be thinking about this now. 

Perhaps the first step is to stop personally insulting his supporters?  Just a thought.
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Giuliani Support Going to McCain

The Gallup tracking poll is fascinating.  I've never seen such a direct correlation.  Yes, Rudy dropped out and endorsed McCain, but so far ALL of his supporters have gone to McCain.

Rudy's support dropped from 13% to 7%, a six point drop.  McCain's support grew over the same time period from 31% to 37%, a six-point gain.  With a sampling error of +/- 3 points, this means the movements are statistically significant, and from a statistical standpoint ALL of Rudy's supporters have moved to McCain.  That's pretty cool, you don't see that in surveys very often.

In Florida, Rudy's and McCain's numbers added up to 51%, a majority of the vote.

McCain's current lead in Gallup has swollen to 15 points, and he's approaching that 40% support area where a candidate is considered statistically "dominant" in a race like this.  His lead in the RCP average (which includes pre-Florida numbers with a high % for Giuliaini) is about 8%, and climbing. 

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A Desperate Hugh Clings to Hope

Hugh Hewitt is going down with the SS Romney.  I could make an analogy to his oft-repeated comment about the parrot "it's not dead, it's sleeping," but what's the point?

What's interesting is that Hugh outlined a worst-case scenario which may in fact be a tad optimistic.  He gave New York, Missouri, Arizona, New Jersey, Connecticuit and Delaware to McCain, with the caveat that Missouri was "leaning Huckabee."  Polls show McCain leading now in ALL those states.

Worse still, among the remaining states, polls that have come out show McCain winning all over the nation. Rasmussen showes Romney leading nowhere.  Real Clear Politics shows McCain leading, and his lead expanding, in al the northeast states, California, Illinois, Minnesota, and even Georgia, Alabama and Tennessee (which is why I see Thompson endorsing McCain before Feb 5).

Right now, it looks like Huckabee *might* win Arkansas, although McCain looks surprisingly strong in the South, and this could go to McCain as well.  Utah will go to Romney, but Massachusetts is by no means a lock for him. 

McCain's national numbers are surging, so the liklihood of McCain sweeping the remainder is large.  I'm told Montana is Romney's, but based on what?  The national polls show McCain rising in every region as he gathers endorsements and momentum as the front-runner. 

Hugh said the worst-case was a 50-30-20 split for the remainder of states on Super Tuesday, but delegates won't go proportionally that way.  If McCain runs the table with the remainder of the states (a very real possibility), it'll be more like 70-20-10.

Romney's not stupid.  He spent a fortune to try and catch up in Florida and came up short.  He doesn't have the time or resources to flip the number of states to his column that he'll need to overcome a perceived landslide loss.

Going into this, it looks to be 409-126 before we divvy up the remaining 671.  And that's if, and it's a big "IF," Huckabee holds onto Arkansas and Romney holds onto Massachusetts.  As news of Romney's falling behind in the "Super Tuesday" states hits the airwaves, the perception of a Romney freefall makes his prospects in the remaining states dim. 

Not only that, but this "worst-case scenario," which actually looks more now like a likely scenario would be a death blow to Romney.  There's no way McCain wouldn't pull enough delegates from the remaining contests to comfortably secure the nomination, and there would be far too much pressure to move on.  It's already happening.

Bottom line, Hugh is being the good soldier for a losing campaign.  No doubt there may be a little concern about his book sales, since he bet a book on the idea that Romney would be the nominee.  But at this point, it's looking increasingly shrill and desperate.  The other conservatives, for the most part, are backing off, realizing the tide is going McCain's way and it's too strong to stop.  It's time for Hugh to do the same.  Go ahead, support your man to the end, but readers and listeners need to know you haven't completely lost your sense of reality.

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McCain on a Roll, Conservatives Mellowing

The post-Florida bounce has been huge for McCain.  He's shot up four points in one night in the Rasmussen polls, which have generally underrepresented McCain's level of support.  (In fact, it's probably an even bigger jump, since that's a three-day tracking poll.)  He's received Rudy Giuliani's endorsement, and his donors, and his East Coast campaign orgnaization. 

McCain is now leading in California, New York, New Jersey, Connecticuit, Georgia, Tennessee, and probably a lot of other places that just don't have the polls up now.

California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger endorsed McCain today, which will help McCain not only in California, but nationwide.

In addition, McCain won the debate last night, looking relaxed, humorous and Presidential against the increasingly sniping and desperate-looking Romney.  From the Daily Breeze, a South Bay LA newspaper which is a good barometer for California's center-right:  "In a debate dominated by attacks and counterattacks between McCain and chief rival Romney, McCain appeared to take the upper hand."

McCain has locked up the Republican center, and now appears to be warming over the right.  Bob Novak, whi has been trashing McCain for weeks, seems to be relenting  

"McCain as the Republican nominee would need those "very conservative" voters. He will encounter some of them at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) in Washington Feb. 7-9. His campaign Wednesday asked for McCain to speak there after rejecting an invitation to last year's meeting. At CPAC, he might well consider providing "straight talk" about Samuel Alito and promising to veto any tax increase by a Democratic Congress." 

This is Novak's way of making a peace offering.  We know McCain will promise to veto any tax increase and to appoint conservative judges, because, despite what people have been saying, that's who he is.  John Fund on Laura Ingraham said it's time to stop bashing McCain and to "look forward."  He was critical of McCain, but now says conservatives can work with him.  Dennis Prager, on his show, is sounding a similar theme, touting McCain's impeccible credentials on the Golbal War on Terror.

No doubt there will be more good news to come for McCain, certainly in the endorsments (look for a Fred Thompson endorsement soon), and probably in the fundraising area as well, where Schwarenegger, Giuliani, and to a lesser extent Florida's Governor Christ, will give McCain a financial shot in the arm as he enters the long "dead time" stretch before the convention.

Even more importantly, he's beating Hillary and Obama in head-to-head matchups, and this was before the latest good news.  The GOP is starting to rally behind the war hero just as the Democratic party is starting to tear apart.  This is the best week the GOP has had in a long, long time.  It'll take a lot more than this for me to feel good about November, but it's a darned good start.
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McCain beating Hillary and Obama

Those of us in the "Just Win, Baby" wing of the GOP have found our man, and his name is John McCain.

The latest Rasmussen polls show McCain with solid single-digit leads over Hillary and Obama.  Rasmussen has tended to underreport McCain's level of support, and these polls were taken befor the big Florida win, so right now, it would appear this is McCain's "floor."

It's time for McCain to seal the deal.  He needs to sell the electability, and sell it hard to the Republican base.  Romney has no answer to the argument that McCain is more likely to win, because McCain has already proven he can win while Romeny has proven he can waste money and actually have people like him less as a result.

Here's hoping for a clear and convincing win for McCain on Super Tuesday, and a graceful Romney exit after that, while the Democrats continue to rip each other to shreds.
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John McCain for President


Go here to support John McCain

Go to fullsize image

I wholeheartedly endorse John McCain for President of the United States and encourage all those who care about the future of this country to do the same.

 

McCain’s background, personal integrity, his ability to communicate in a direct and honest manner, and his proven ability to attract a broad coalition of support makes him not only the ideal Republican candidate to face the Democrats in November, but the ideal person to lead our nation through the challenges to come.

 

McCain’s Background – Leadership and Integrity for America

 

McCain’s background, his service and sacrifice to America, is unparalleled. The story of his years as a POW in North Vietnam is often glossed over by detractors who say “he’s a great American, but…” This is unfortunate, and I doubt very many of his detractors have taken the time to read his biography and fully appreciate what this man has done for us, and how essential it is to have that kind of experience in the White House.

 

McCain spent five and a half years as a North Vietnamese POW.  At first, he was denied medical treatment and was given up for dead (sound familiar?), but he survived.  When it was discovered he was the son of an admiral, McCain was offered freedom, which he refused unless those captured before him were also released.

 

For his integrity, McCain was rewarded with regular beatings, torture and abhorrent prison conditions for years.  When he returned, he was left with permanent injuries.  Ever notice how his hand gestures are always out in front, toward the audience, instead of up?  That’s because his injuries left him unable to raise his hands above his head.  (To this day he’s mocked for this gesture by people who gratuitously use the “he’s a great American” throwaway line, yet who are largely ignorant of who McCain really is.)

 

McCain continued his public service first as a Congressman and then a US Senator.  While some would like to lump his public service in with all the other politicians as part of the problem, Senator McCain has distinguished himself as a man of unique integrity and honesty.  Dick Morris named him as one of only two senators who he would consider “good,” the other being Joe Leiberman.  It’s convenient to bash politicians, but America needs good public servants.  McCain has been a great one.

 

On the issues, McCain is conservative.  His lifetime ACU rating is 82.  He has consistently fought against earmarks, against tax increases, for the line item veto, for conservative judges, for gun rights, for the death penalty and, most importantly, for an aggressive, proactive policy toward the War on Terror.

 

It is this position in particular, McCain’s unwavering stance on Iraq and the War on Terror, that makes me confident he will be the kind of President America needs.  While the Democrats and many Republicans talked of withdrawal, McCain stood alone in promoting the “surge,” long before it became popular.  He risked his campaign on the surge.  He has been steadfast in promoting an aggressive military and foreign policy that strikes at the terrorists before they strike us. 

 

The only other candidate who came close to McCain on this issue was Giuliani, and even Rudy didn’t have McCain’s credentials.  With Rudy now out, there is no candidate who even comes close to McCain’s steadfastness and abilities.  If I disagreed with McCain on everything else, I would still vote for him because of this.  There is no other candidate out there, Republican or Democrat, who is trustworthy, steadfast, and dead-on right when it comes to fighting the War on Terror.  Frankly, the rest of the candidates are so inexperienced or just plain wrong on this issue that they scare me, and this issue is paramount. 

 

I’m confident with McCain in the Oval Office.  He’s earned that confidence.  Nobody else has come close.

 

 McCain is a Man of Integrity

 

I don’t always agree with McCain, but I trust him.  I can’t say that about anybody else.  In fact, with Romney, it’s the opposite – I agree with the positions he’s taken today, but I don’t trust him at all.  Since we’re electing a President who we have to trust to handle issues we don’t see today, I need to know the man in the Oval Office is going to act in America’s best interest, do what he says and say what he means.  That’s McCain.  Romney and Clinton would bend with the wind to get approval; McCain would stand steadfast, even if it meant suffering disapproval.  Huckabee and Obama don’t have the experience to be trusted and would need a lot of handling and on-the-job training (Obama even admitted he asks his staff to wait to the last minute to hand him things or he’ll forget them – that’s FRIGHTENING!); John McCain is ready to lead, and he’ll stick to his guns, even if it’s unpopular.

 

America Needs “Straight Talk”

 

You’ll undoubtedly disagree with something or other McCain says, but there’s no doubt he means what he says.  In an era where politicians are expected to lie, isn’t that refreshing?  In a way, the fact that McCain’s “Straight Talk” is so popular is as much an indictment of Washington politics as it is a testament to McCain’s communication style.  I mean, shouldn’t EVERYBODY be honest?  They’re not, which is why McCain is such a breath of fresh air.  But seriously, shouldn’t honesty be a requirement and not a luxury?

 

I love how McCain didn’t back down on his “Bomb, bomb Iran” joke.  He told Iowans that Ethanol subsidies are a waste of taxpayer money (they are), making him the ONLY candidate who didn’t pander to the farmers.  He told Michigan he wouldn’t bail out the auto industry, and we shouldn’t.  Those are all examples of McCain standing up for conservative principles in the face of shameless pandering and anti war hysteria.

 

We deserve a President who will look us in the eye and tell us the truth, even when it’s unpopular.  McCain stands alone in this regard.  Like I said, it’s disappointing that he is alone, but if the rest of the field has chosen to cede candor to McCain, then that makes the choice all the easier.

 

McCain Can Win

 

McCain is the ONLY Republican candidate who can beat the Democrats.  Romney is personally disliked by even most Republicans for many of the reasons that McCain is respected.  While people might agree with Romney’s positions, they neither respect nor trust the man.  With McCain, the opposite is true.  People disagree with his positions on this or that, but generally trust him and have tremendous respect for the man.

 

I would submit that, in the end, voters do not vote for a platform, they vote for a President.  Therefore, who the candidate is becomes far more important that what the candidate says they’ll do.  Voters trust and respect McCain, far more than any other candidate in the field.  Voters can see McCain leading our nation.  McCain’s honesty and steadfastness makes people feel safe with him as a leader in troubling times.  Contrast this with Romney’s and Clinton’s shameless pandering and negative attacks, or Obama’s and Huckabee’s glaring inexperience and gaffes on important issues.  In times of uncertainty, people go with the person they trust, and that’s McCain.

 

McCain also has credibility as someone who will listen to all Americans and not be blindly beholden to an agenda or interest group.  He’s demonstrated, often to the consternation of his own supporters, that he’ll do what he thinks is right, not what his base tells him to do or what is necessarily popular.  He’s a conservative who can bridge the gap with disenfranchised Democrats and Independents and bring them into the process, not through empty rhetoric a la Obama but through actions and honest dialogue.

 

McCain is the ONLY candidate who can keep the GOP from falling off the cliff with regard to Hispanics.  Karl Rove warned the GOP was “dancing on the edge” of the cliff and risked losing the Latino vote for generations.  McCain can keep Hispanics in the GOP, as he showed in Florida.  Republicans need to take a deep breath on immigration and consider the effect the tone of this debate is having on those who might vote Republican but don’t feel welcomed into the party.  I’m not saying we should give away the farm, but perhaps we can approach the issue keeping in mind that we’re trying to bring people into the party, not shut them out forever.

 

Bottom line, McCain is the right man at the right time and will be a great President.  I proudly and confidently support his candidacy and pray the Republican Party will unify behind his nomination.  This consequences of a Democratic Presidency are far too dire for us to continue with the “my way or the highway” attitude.  If we step back and look at the big picture, I’m confident we’ll see the McCain will continue the Reagan legacy, and maybe even strengthen it, and strengthen America in the process.


Go here to support John McCain 

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Prager endorses Giuliani

Keep hope alive!  dennis Prage makes an excellent case for Rudy Giuliani.

"And when it comes to being strong on both domestic and international issues, it seems that no presently viable Republican candidate matches Rudy Giuliani."

"But Giuliani is not merely more of a conservative than John McCain. In fact, if it is Ronald Reagan that Republicans want, Giuliani is extraordinarily close to that venerated man. Ronald Reagan stood for two great beliefs: that big government is a big problem for a free society and that America must be militarily strong and lead the war against global communism.


Substitute "global jihadism" for "global communism" and you have Rudy Giuliani's twin pillars. His one major weakness in appealing to all conservatives is that he is for abortion rights. Let me, then, briefly address all those who, like me, consider nearly all abortions immoral."

"Pro-life Republicans need to ask themselves: Will a Democrat or Giuliani as president render abortion less common in America? The best is the enemy of the better. And Giuliani is far better on abortion than any Democratic nominee."

Well said, Mr. Prager.  While I don't agree that McCain would be such a disaster, I still believe Rudy is the best candidate out there.  With Thompson leaving, Huckabee out of money and momentum and Romney looking less and less electable, Rudy represents the last best alternative to a McCain nomination and a more electable candidate in the fall.  Let's hope it's not too late for Rudy to make a run of it.

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Romney - The Weakest GOP Candidate

Why am I so decidedly anti-Mitt, after weeks of hyping him as my #2 choice?

Beacuase I want to WIN!  I want us to beat the Democrats!  That's my #1 focus.  I don't want to lose with honor, I want to WIN, because ANYBODY is better than these Democratic candidates, who are absolutely terrifying.

I believe Rudy and McCain present the best chances for our party to win, but I'm willing to admit Huckabee has somethign special, and he might be able to win over some new voters to the GOP side.

But that's pretty much it. 

Mitt Romney, unlike the other three, has proven that he would lose badly.  Don't take my word for it, look at the polls.  Of four candidates I've mentioned, he's the weakest.  Michael Medved explains it clearly.  And there's this:

"After spending more money than his major opponents combined, Romney appears more and more clearly unelectable, and a Saturday column by Gail Collins in the New York Times gives a clear explanation why. “Unfortunately, there’s something about Romney’s perfect grooming, his malleability and his gee-whiz aura that seems to really irritate both the other candidates and the voters,” she writes. “What bothers voters about Romney, as it turns out, is not his Mormonism but his inherent Mitt-ness.”

Lately I've received a few emails basically saying that, since I read polls and can see that Romney can't win, I'm anti-Mormon.  No, I'm Pro-WINNING, and he can't win.  That's like a sportscaster seeing that Notre Dame is 1-7, saying they're having a losing season, and being called anti-Catholic.  No, you're calling a spade a spade.  It's not religious bigotry to point out that somebody is losing.  I'm sorry the truth is hurting your candidate, Mitt supporters, but take it up with his campaign, not with me.

More from Medved:

"As I’ve said repeatedly over the last several weeks, the problem for Romney isn’t his faith, it’s his phoniness. It’s even worse to see that in-authenticity combined with an all-too-visible mean and nasty streak in going after his rivals."

And that's what it boils down to.  I've watched the campaign unfold.  I like the campaign Huck and McCain are running.  I think Mitt is too slick by half and is running a negative campaign that I disapprove of.  I wish I could say something nice about Rudy's campaign, but I'm disappointed about that campaign, too, and I think their strategy is failing. I judge candidates not by what they say but what they do.  McCain has a long record and is running a great campaign.  Huckabee is connecting with voters.  Mitt looks less and less likeable every minute I watch his Ward Cleaver impression.  I don't like him.  I don't trust him.  He can't win.  I think the Republican voters would be suicidal to keep him in the mix. 

It's time to select a candidate who can win.  It's time to DUMP MITT!
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"Why I... find the Romney Campaign Distasteful"

Erick at Red State sums up the reason many Republicans just don't like Mitt Romney.

"In short, any position you can think of today held by Mitt Romney probably has a related sound bite of Mitt Romney saying exactly the opposite within the past five years."

"You may take issue with that, but in looking at Mitt Romney's record as Governor of Massachusetts, I have seen no more than a handful of examples of him fighting the good fight on principle knowing he was going to lose."

Here is where he touches on the reason I now can't stand Mitt:

"My other deep concern about Mitt Romney is not about him, but about his campaign. His campaign has largely operated on the idea that through their money they could wage war against anyone in the primary and anyone in the general election. That hasn't worked out so well for him. The arrogance of fortune in that campaign gave way to a sense of invulnerability. That sense led to the achilles heel of the campaign -- they could buy up all the air time, but they could not sell their candidate to the voters. He has a hard time connecting with the average person."

"This fortress of wealth has made the Romney campaign one of the most predictable campaigns of all time. Every move seems choreographed through abundant polling and implemented with abundant cash. That captures the overwhelming point here. All of Mitt's money and all of Mitt's men have not yet been able to connect him to the voters at large, but they've spent a hell of a lot of money trying (I suspect they'll succeed in Michigan).


"Finally, I will not belabor this point, but Ben Domenech successfully mocked my last concern. This has absolutely nothing to do with Mitt Romney himself, but it goes to the core of his campaign. Some vocal supporters and sycophants of the Romney campaign have deluded themselves into thinking that if a voter does not like Mitt Romney, he must be anti-Mormon bigots. It is unfortunate, but it has happened. Certainly some people will not support Mitt Romney because they are anti-Mormon bigots. But the vast majority of people do not support him because (1) they do not trust him or (2) they trust someone else more."

As for me, I despise the Romney campaign.  Any campaign that can squander the resouces the Romney campaign has wasted deserves nothing but the utmost scorn and ridicule.

The managers of Team Mitt are THE WORST campaign managers ever assembled.  Romney has the worst, most incompetent, most arrogant, most clueless, most negative, in sort the absolute worst campaign staff and Presidential campaign ever.  Ron Paul is running a better campaign than this guy.  Mitt may be a great guy, but this campagin would lose in November on a tsunami scale.  That alone should be enough to dump the guy.

Once again, DUMP MITT!!

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